The Central Division Playoff Race
One week into March and the Central Division playoff race is changing game to game as four teams battle it out for the last three spots in the division. The Allen Americans have distanced themselves far enough from the rest of the group that none of the teams below them can ever catch up, so don’t even worry about that number one spot. The rankings above are based on points gathered by each team as of March 7th, including their Maximum Points and Pace Points. This data is compiled using each team’s point percentage setting a team’s pace for the remainder of the season. These numbers can tell you a great deal about how your team is doing, however there are no guarantees at this point. No one team has been ruled out mathematically as yet, however for at least one, Brampton, the situation is dire since the team has already been eliminated by their current pace points.
Explanation for MAX PTS and PACE PTS seen in the last 2 columns above:
Pace is the team’s point percentage over 72 games. So for Brampton, 36.1% of 144 (max points) is 52.
Mathematical cutoff is when a team’s maximum points fall below the number of points that the 4th place team has achieved. To use Brampton as an example — if Brampton wins every last game, Wichita and Rapid City would need to earn 76 points to eliminate them. Brampton has already been eliminated by pace points, but not mathematically as yet.
Thanks to Eric Rodgers for his stats and explanation.
February Games in the Central Division
1| Allen Americans – 12 games in February – 6-3-2-1 (15 points)
The Allen Americans continue their roll through the Central Division however they are beginning to slow down just a bit. In their 12 games in February they only came away with 15 points which is the worst they have performed all season long. The Americans lost six games against the Ontario Reign, Wichita Thunder (1 in OT; 1 in SO); Quad City Mallards, Tulsa and Brampton (in OT). As of March 7th the Americans still hold top place in the overall ECHL, however the Fort Wayne Komets are very close, just 1 point behind.
Oct: 3 Games in October – 2-1-0-0- (4 points)
Nov: 12 Games in November – 9-3-0-0- (18 points)
Dec: 3 games in December – 9-1-1-2 (21 points)
Jan: 13 games in January – 10-2-1-0 (21 points)
Overall team stats through February: 36-10-4-3 (79 points in 53 games). Last month in 1st. Trending: →
2| Quad City Mallards – 14 games in February — 8-6-0-0 (16 points)
The Mallards have remained fairly steady in 2nd place, winning the majority of their 14 games in February although not by much. Quad City lost six games to Wichita, Missouri (shutout), Tulsa, Allen and Brampton (2 games). As of March 7th the Mallards have a solid 4-point lead over the 3rd and 4th ranked teams Wichita and Rapid City.
Oct: 4 games in October – 2-2-0-0 (4 points).
Nov: 13 Games in November – 5-3-3-2 (15 points).
Dec: 14 games in December – 9-5-0-0 (18 points).
Jan: 10 games in January – 4-5-1-0 (9 points)
Overall team stats through February: 28-21-4-2 (62 points in 55 games). Last month in 2nd. Trending: ↗
3| Wichita Thunder – 9 games in February — 5-3-0-1 (11 points)
Wichita only faced 9 games in February and lost 3 games in regulation to Quad City, Rapid City and Tulsa, and a fourth game in a shootout to Allen. Wichita played the number one ranked team Allen Americans in three back-to-back games, winning two of the series in overtime and a shootout, and losing one in a shootout. Near the end of February the Thunder had temporarily dropped into 5th place as the Oilers and Rapid City gained points on them, however now at March 7th the team has rebounded back into 3rd with 61 points, tied with Rapid City. The best news for Wichita is that they have games in hand over most of the teams except for the Allen Americans and the Brampton Beast — and to be truthful, neither one of these teams factor into their standings, except that Wichita will need to win as many games as possible against the two teams.
Oct: 3 Games in October – 1-1-1-0 (3 points)
Nov: 15 Games in November – 7-5-0-3 (17 points).
Dec: 12 games in December – 7-4-0-1 (15 points).
Jan: 13 games in January – 5-7-1-0- (11 points).
Overall team stats through February: 27-20-2-5 (57 points in 52 games). Last month in 3rd. Trending: ↗
4| Rapid City Rush – 13 games in February — 9-3-1-0 (19 points)
The Rapid City Rush went on a winning streak in February for the push to move up in the standings and they were very successful. Out of their 13 games the Rush only lost 3 in regulation and 1 in overtime: two shutout losses to Brampton, 1 loss to Missouri, and their 4th loss was against Tulsa in overtime. Other teams should be watching Rapid City very carefully since they can easily bump someone out of the playoff race altogether.
Oct: 6 Games in October – 2-3-0-1 (5 points).
Nov: 12 Games in November – 3-9-0-0 (6 points).
Dec: 12 games in December – 7-4-0-1 (15 points).
Jan: 13 games in January – 6-6-0-1 (13 points)
Overall Team Stats through February: 27-25-1-3 (58 points in 56 games). Last month in 5th. Trending: ↗
5| Tulsa Oilers – 11 games in February — 6-5-0-0 (12 points)
The Tulsa Oilers are the Jekyll and Hyde team of the Central Division this season. They had an outstanding push in November, fell dramatically in December only to recover in January. While the Oilers won more games than they lost in February it was just barely as they gave up 3 games to Rapid City, and 1 each to Missouri and Quad City. Can the team rally again? That is the big question mark for March and the Oilers. Their pace points are even with Rapid City’s at 76, but Rapid City is also trending far more positively. Keep a watch on Tulsa — this is where they have to begin to win far more games.
Oct: 4 games in October – 2-1-1-0 (5 points).
Nov: 14 games in November – 8-4-0-2 (18 points)
Dec: 14 games in December – 4-10-0-0 (8 points).
Jan: 12 games in January – 7-4-0-1 (15 points)
Overall team stats through February: 27-24-1-3 (58 points in 55 games). Last month in 4th place. Trending: →
6| Missouri Mavericks – 13 games in February — 3-9-1-0- (7 points)
The Mavericks are in a very tough spot, losing far more than winning over the past month. Out of their 13 games they lost 4 games to Quad City, 4 games to Rapid City, 1 game to Wichita and 1 game to Allen in overtime. The team has been juggling their roster over the month of February but so far there are no positive signs of improvement. The situation is becoming very dire for the Mavericks and their pace points are not at all encouraging.
Oct: 3 Games in October – 1-2-0-0 (2 points).
Nov: 13 games in November – 6-7-0-0- (12 points).
Dec: 13 games in December – 6-4-1-2 (15 points)
Jan: 11 games in January – 4-6-1-0 (9 points)
Overall team stats through February: 20-28-3-2 (45 points in 53 games). Last month in 5th. Trending: ↘
7| Brampton Beast – 12 games in February — 5-7-0-0- (10 points)
The Brampton Beast are in the midst of a very rough season and we saw the first signs that they have accepted the fact that they cannot make any moves into a playoff spot. Brampton traded their defenseman Steven Tarasuk to the Allen Americans in return for Allen’s Brett Lyon in late February and just this week (on March 3rd) they traded their goaltender Grant Rollheiser to the Wichita Thunder for future considerations. While on their recent road trip to the southwest the Beast beat Allen in overtime which has a huge win for the boys, but sadly it is far too late. The Beast have not been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs yet, however they have been eliminated as far as their pace points.
Oct: 3 games in October – 0-2-1-0 (1 point)
Nov: 11 games in November – 6-5-0-0 (12 points).
Dec: 13 games in December – 3-10-0-0 (6 points).
Jan: 14 games in January – 4-9-1-0 (9 points)
Overall team stats through February: 18-33-2-0 (38 points in 53 games) Last month in 7th. Trending: →